Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 3.274555 3.832659 4.426757 5.103132 5.848709 6.642460 7.548324
2024-10-27 2.376371 3.122447 3.977917 5.017966 6.234810 7.600557 9.236160
2024-11-03 1.862189 2.725072 3.782956 5.143068 6.813136 8.766043 11.190619
2024-11-10 1.472883 2.393975 3.596869 5.223081 7.304704 9.823294 13.042420
2024-11-17 1.117226 2.031001 3.304714 5.113861 7.522621 10.529594 14.474154
2024-11-24 0.841303 1.719614 3.027312 4.975324 7.665598 11.120162 15.757009
2024-12-01 0.655954 1.504032 2.847962 4.938013 7.918200 11.838176 17.201447
2024-12-08 0.505135 1.308826 2.666548 4.869208 8.106975 12.462066 18.525854
2024-12-15 0.439536 1.251662 2.690793 5.097612 8.711707 13.648324 20.603841
2024-12-22 0.354464 1.134400 2.597810 5.132756 9.031963 14.449755 22.183255
2024-12-29 0.317971 1.110082 2.658944 5.408625 9.708376 15.751929 24.453949
2025-01-05 0.278695 1.069158 2.683492 5.622522 10.295320 16.939025 26.587678
2025-01-12 0.228868 0.990913 2.633463 5.715906 10.713744 17.915278 28.478293
2025-01-19 0.171617 0.871979 2.488233 5.635536 10.859161 18.505160 29.850017
2025-01-26 0.142590 0.822188 2.473533 5.776985 11.351920 19.602790 31.943773
2025-02-02 0.114958 0.764457 2.433077 5.866582 11.761128 20.583485 33.886414
2025-02-09 0.081316 0.665648 2.286643 5.749418 11.828025 21.057696 35.118501
2025-02-16 0.054488 0.571174 2.131568 5.599627 11.829007 21.426931 36.200633
2025-02-23 0.038145 0.508000 2.039012 5.559396 12.005655 22.058401 37.663562
2025-03-02 0.025068 0.445311 1.934599 5.484772 12.116746 22.587828 38.982536
2025-03-09 0.021631 0.441747 1.988087 5.732951 12.789120 23.988949 41.588664
2025-03-16 0.015113 0.404922 1.942228 5.771138 13.095357 24.827883 43.381244
2025-03-23 0.013593 0.410098 2.018679 6.070420 13.867343 26.402274 46.273501